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Saigon
April 18th, 2008, 03:12 PM
good read...please discuss...

http://www.homemediamagazine.com/index.cfm?sec_id=2&newsid=12550

Author: THOMAS K. ARNOLD
tarnold@questex.com (tarnold@questex.com)
Posted: April 17, 2008
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The home video industry received a rosy report card for the first quarter, with a surprising lift in consumer spending after two down years.

Consumer spending on DVDs and Blu-ray Discs in the first three months of this year was up about 1% from the first three months of 2007, coming in at $5.51 billion, up from $5.46 billion in the first quarter of last year, according to Home Media Magazine market research estimates based on studio and retail data.

Sales were up 2.3% to $3.47 billion, from $3.39 billion, while rental spending slipped 1.6% to $2.04 billion, from $2.07 billion.

The cheery sales picture also saw unit sales to consumers rise 2.6% to 231,928 units, from 225,999 units in the first quarter of 2007.

And according to Nielsen VideoScan sales data, the nascent Blu-ray Disc saved the day for the sellthrough business, with DVD unit sales in the first quarter down 1.2% from the first quarter of 2007 but Blu-ray Disc sales up a whopping 351%.

That translates to a net gain of 1.1%. Nielsen numbers are based on point-of-sale data from most big retail chains, with the notable exception of Wal-Mart.

Studio executives were buoyed by the overall numbers, which in many cases reflect their own experiences so far this year.

“The industry is off to a nice start for the year — we are even in a slightly better position than we were at this time last year,” said Kelley Avery, president of Paramount Worldwide Home Entertainment. “At Paramount, we’ve paced ourselves with a solid line-up in Q1, followed by a steady release schedule as we strategically spread out our titles throughout each quarter this year.”

Steve Beeks, president and co-COO of Lionsgate, said the mini-major had the best calendar quarter for home entertainment in its history, with a market share of 9%, up from 6.8% in the first quarter of 2007.

“Lionsgate and the home entertainment industry both got off to a fast start in 2008,” Beeks said.

He noted that DVD was holding its own, with new-release DVD sales only slightly below new-release DVD sales in the first quarter of 2007, even though their collective box office value was 9% less than in the year-ago quarter. Catalog sales, meanwhile, were up 2%, while Blu-ray’s phenomenal unit sales gains were magnified by the format’s higher margins.

“Blu-ray had its second-best week ever in the week ended March 23, and we anticipate Blu-ray sales of $800 million to $1 billion-plus for all of 2008, up dramatically from approximately $300 million last year,” Beeks said. “Fueled by this growth in the high-margin sector of the packaged-media business, as well as by 27% growth in VOD and digital spending, we expect the home entertainment industry overall to grow in 2008 and continue growing in 2009.”

Independent home video suppliers also are reporting an up first quarter. At Anchor Bay Entertainment, both overall first-quarter results and Blu-ray Disc sales are “trending ahead of expectations,” said president Bill Clark.

In terms of studio market share, Warner Home Video, buoyed by its distributed New Line Home Entertainment and HBO Video lines, snagged 20.1% of total consumer home entertainment spending in the first quarter of this year.

Walt Disney Studios Home Entertainment came in second, with a market share of 14.8%, according to Home Media research estimates.

Disney, as always, was particularly strong on the sellthrough front, with five of the top 10 DVD sellers, led by Enchanted, the year’s No. 2 seller, overall. Disney also claims the top-selling re-release (101 Dalmatians) and the No. 1 direct-to-video title (Snow Buddies).

Finished third in the Q1 market share derby was 20th Century Fox Home Entertainment with 12.2% of overall consumer spending on DVD purchases and rentals, combined. The figure includes MGM Home Entertainment titles, which the studio distributes. Sony Pictures Home Entertainment came in a close fourth, with 11.8%, followed by Universal Studios Home Entertainment and Paramount Home Entertainment, neck and neck with respective market shares of 10.5% and 10.4%.

Lionsgate finished just behind the six majors with a 9% market share, its best ever. And Genius Products, fueled by theatrical product from The Weinstein Co., continued to be a factor with a market share of 2.2%.

AMG44
April 18th, 2008, 03:22 PM
If it wasnt for the economy being so bad sales would be even better. I think it will hit a peak when consumers get their returns and stimulus checks back from the government. Probably taper off and hit another peak during the holidays. If the economy gets better, 2009 could be an insane year for Blu-Ray.

smaug
April 18th, 2008, 03:29 PM
I think it helps that the HD DVD/BD war is over. A lot of people were holding out on buying movies until they figured out which format they will be buying for the next few years.

Sam_From_Space
April 18th, 2008, 03:49 PM
Nice to see some positives, it should be a great year for consumers.

flowmastah
April 18th, 2008, 07:24 PM
I think it helps that the HD DVD/BD war is over. A lot of people were holding out on buying movies until they figured out which format they will be buying for the next few years.
I was at Best Buy yesterday, and saw a guy buying an HD-DVD player and browsing the HD-DVD movie section. I almost asked him why, but decided he might not take well to a stranger wandering up and telling him not to be stupid.

It's kind of embarrassing that retail outlets are actually still selling the players.

smaug
April 18th, 2008, 07:29 PM
I was at Best Buy yesterday, and saw a guy buying an HD-DVD player and browsing the HD-DVD movie section. I almost asked him why, but decided he might not take well to a stranger wandering up and telling him not to be stupid.

It's kind of embarrassing that retail outlets are actually still selling the players.

How much were they? I mean, it's not a bad idea to pick up a cheap HD DVD player, and a bunch of cheap HD DVD movies. I mean, they did make a lot of movies only for HD DVD, and you can get them for cheap now.

EDIT: Example: I want to watch the Bourne movies in HD, how long am I going to have to wait for them to come out on BD?

sorrow880
April 20th, 2008, 12:53 AM
Sales will be growing for blu-ray, but won't start to really boom (mass market adoption) until the stand alone players become more reasonably priced and the new release movies drop to $20.

Lol, my dad just bought a ps3 two days ago simply for the blu-ray player. He gave a strict warning that he didn't want to see ANYONE playing any video games on it...it's for blu-rays only.

the_End
April 20th, 2008, 02:00 AM
Good stuff. Haven't bought a Blu-Ray movie in a long time but will be picking up Batman Begins when it comes out.

Essenshizer
April 20th, 2008, 05:35 AM
Honestly, most people still don't quite see the point in upgrading from DVD's, when they are hardly a crime on the eyes.

flowmastah
April 23rd, 2008, 04:07 AM
Honestly, most people still don't quite see the point in upgrading from DVD's, when they are hardly a crime on the eyes.
Depends on the DVD and what you're watching it on.

On an SD TV it makes no difference. On an HD, there are some DVDs that look pretty nice assuming you've got a good upconverting player. Some others look like crap.

Either way, Blu-ray looks considerably better.